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This system is designed for use on even
chance bets.
Concept
The idea behind the regression system is that
every session starts with a winning bet and then
builds on this foundation. You start by placing a 2
unit bet and if this wins you then reduce your next
bet to 1 unit. By doing this your bankroll after the
first winning bet will have increased by one unit
whether or not you win the next bet. After your
initial win you then increase the bet after every
win by one unit, this means that you will not take a
profit on the second win but after a number of
consecutive wins you will start to rake in large
amounts.
To compare how this system works against a series
of flat bets I have set up a table that shows how
your bankroll would fare if playing with $5 units
|
Winning Sequence |
Regression |
Flat Bet |
|
L |
-$10 |
-$10 |
|
W,L |
+$5 |
+$0 |
|
W,W,L |
+$5 |
+$10 |
|
W,W,W,L |
+$10 |
+$20 |
|
W,W,W,W,L |
+$20 |
+$30 |
|
W,W,W,W,W,L |
+$35 |
+$40 |
|
W,W,W,W,W,W,L |
+$55 |
+$50 |
|
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L |
+$80 |
+$60 |
|
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L |
+$110 |
+$70 |
|
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L |
+$145 |
+$80 |
|
W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L |
+$185 |
+$90 |
From this table we can see that the regression
system needs to get a series of at least six
consecutive wins in order to show a larger profit
than flat betting. Sessions between two and five
wins show a smaller profit, but the big advantage of
this system is that you can ride out a losing streak
(or even show a small profit if the streak is not
too severe), and still make a killing when the luck
turns your way.
The Catch
There isn't much of a catch to this system. You
are trading off medium run wins for wins of one run
and wins of 6+ runs. Remember that the house edge
will be working on all bets and not just your
initial bet, and that when your bets get very large
you are playing with your money and NOT the casinos.
Blackjack
This system can be used effectively on blackjack,
but remember that you may need extra money to double
or split the cards. If the casino you are playing at
allows multiple splits with doubles then a very
promising win can turn bad very quickly. Always use
the correct basic blackjack strategy but if the
stakes are getting too high then it may be wise not
to split or double. You may even decide to take
insurance if the bet is very large (something you
should not normally do) and it's the difference
between a losing day and a winning day. (Note. Over
the long run you will be better sticking to basic
blackjack strategy).
Conclusion
This system can be very effective if you have the
patience to wait for the long runs. You can have
some great pay off's and still be picking up small
bets through the bad times to keep your bankroll
topped up. It's very nice when you start out on a
series of bets knowing that your bankroll has
increased, but equally unpleasant when you see a
$100 bet lose. Although it will not alter the long
term edge the casino has, this system can be very
useful.
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